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Daily Newsletter 10/08/25

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MacroXX
Oct 08, 2025
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This morning, U.S. stock index futures are showing slight gains.

Undoubtedly, the standout event today is the historic surge of gold prices, which have surpassed the $4,000 mark for the first time ever, capturing the attention of investors and markets worldwide.

Key economic events today include the release of the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes, which offer valuable insight into the Federal Reserve’s current economic outlook and monetary policy direction. Additionally, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) will publish its latest data on crude oil and gasoline inventories, which are closely watched by energy markets.


Japan has recently welcomed a new and energetic prime minister who brings fresh leadership to the country. However, Japan faces significant structural challenges that limit its flexibility in policy and economic adaptation. These challenges include a rapidly aging population, which constitutes nearly one-third of the total populace, creating substantial social and economic pressures. Alongside this demographic shift, Japan is grappling with a high level of government debt and the long-term effects of a weakened yen, which has depreciated considerably over the years.

Despite these constraints, Japan is making a strategic shift towards strengthening its national defense. The government plans to increase defense spending to address emerging security concerns in the region, reflecting a clear priority on enhancing military capabilities and preparedness. This increase in defense expenditure marks an important policy direction amid the demographic and economic pressures the country faces.


France is in a severe political crisis largely self-inflicted by President Emmanuel Macron, who called early elections expecting a clear majority but instead faced a deeply fragmented parliament. This has led to repeated government collapses and resignations, including that of Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu after just weeks in office. Macron now faces tough choices—appointing a new prime minister, dissolving parliament again, or resigning—while political deadlock grows. This instability not only threatens France’s governance but could also have spillover effects on other European economies due to France’s significant regional role.


Argentina is experiencing a challenging political and economic period under President Javier Milei. While his government has made progress in reducing inflation and cutting spending, Milei struggles with unpopularity at home due to austerity measures and corruption scandals involving close associates. His party faces tough midterm elections, needing to gain allies to sustain reforms. Despite support from the U.S., Milei must convince Argentines, as his rough, unempathetic style hampers broader acceptance. The situation is crucial for Argentina’s future stability and reform agenda.Argentina is undergoing a challenging period under President Javier Milei, who has pushed for strong economic reforms but faces significant unpopularity at home due to austerity measures and corruption allegations. While he has support from the U.S., Milei needs to win over more Argentines and build political alliances to sustain his agenda. His rough and unempathetic style makes this difficult. The coming elections will be a critical test for his ability to maintain power and continue reforms.

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