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Daily Newsletter 11/14/25

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MacroXX
Nov 14, 2025
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US index futures are trading lower this morning as investors react to recent economic data and uncertainties around Federal Reserve interest rate policy. Selling pressure continues following a tech sector sell-off, contributing to cautious sentiment at the open. Overall, the market is digesting mixed signals about economic growth and monetary policy, keeping futures under pressure without clear direction for gains just yet.

The current market landscape can best be described as lacking a clear direction amidst persistent uncertainty. Tech stocks, in particular, have experienced prolonged overvaluation, with price-to-earnings ratios remaining elevated for an extended period. While this did not deter the markets as major indexes showed gains, any piece of news has the potential to disrupt market stability. The economic environment is clouded by numerous uncertainties, including circular financing concerns in the AI sector, ongoing tariff uncertainties, the US-China trade war, and broader geopolitical tensions. These factors collectively contribute to a fragile market sentiment where fundamentals seem to take a backseat, and markets are driven more by news and shifting expectations than by underlying economic strength. This environment requires vigilance and readiness for sudden and unexpected market moves in any direction, emphasizing the need for a disciplined approach given the unpredictability of near-term market drivers.

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