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MacroXX

Daily Newsletter 11/26/25

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MacroXX
Nov 26, 2025
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U.S. stock index futures are showing positive momentum this morning, extending the recent rally driven by growing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 continue to advance as softer economic data encourage risk-taking ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday.

In the tech sector, Alphabet has reached new highs thanks to excitement around its Gemini AI platform and news that Meta may adopt its AI chips, while Nvidia has faced some pressure due to concerns about increasing competition in AI.

Bitcoin remains under pressure, with cautious institutional investors and negative ETF flows influencing its struggle to rebound.

Gold has advanced on lower yields, hopes for a rate cut, and its status as a safe haven amid geopolitical uncertainties.

Crude oil steadied amid optimism about Ukraine-Russia peace talks and steady OPEC+ production.

The U.S. dollar softened, lifting the euro and the pound, while the volatility index, the VIX, has drifted lower, signaling improved risk sentiment and expectations for a calmer, upward-leaning equity market.

This is how markets stand this morning.

Our takeaway: rate cut expectations remain the main catalyst boosting the rally, especially in semiconductor stocks, a trend likely to continue until conditions change. Our medium-term outlook on gold and silver remains bullish without change. For Bitcoin, we continue to track its price closely as a key indicator of overall market liquidity.

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