Daily Newsletter 12/09/25
US stock index futures are slightly lower this morning amid caution ahead of the Fed’s policy decision. Dow futures dip modestly, S&P 500 futures edge down slightly, and Nasdaq futures show similar mild declines, reflecting steady but subdued sentiment as the FOMC meeting begins today.
While we await tomorrow’s rate announcement, it is important to note that markets currently expect a 25 basis point cut from the Fed, accompanied by a hawkish tone emphasizing data-dependent policy amid sticky inflation above 2%. We believe this 25 bps rate cut is largely priced in, but numerous potential events could exert greater market influence than currently reflected in pricing.
OUR TRADES
We share all our short-term trades in the Tactical Portfolio exclusively with paid subscribers, showing the exact entry time and price for every trade below. Subscribers receive timely buy and sell alerts via chat. Our approach is eclectic, blending macroeconomic insights with a quantitative methodology. We do not limit ourselves to specific markets or sectors, seeking to profit from any short or very short trade that fits our strategy. We use sophisticated option strategies to capitalize on short-term market movements, ensuring full transparency and prompt exit updates.
TACTICAL PORTFOLIO
Yesterday, we shared the following update with subscribers, primarily adjusting our portfolio in anticipation of this week’s FOMC meeting.
We also plan to initiate a new position today in SHLD, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and defense developments surrounding the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the European defense sector.
Closed Positions
BBAR
BBAR $14.74 11/26/25 9:47am
Entry Price: $14.74
Exit Price: $16.34 12/8/25 1:18pm
Profit: 10.85%
Reason for Exit: Following successful trades tied to Argentina’s election, we closed the BBAR position while retaining YPF, as Milei’s reform agenda appears to be losing momentum.
TQQQ
19 DEC 25 60 Long Call Premium: $0.35 11/21/25 11:28am
Entry Price: $35 per contract
Exit Price: $65 per contract
Profit: 85.71%
Reason for Exit: Trimmed technology sector exposure ahead of the FOMC meeting while maintaining a substantial position.
New positions
We are positioning for a Fed rate cut, maintaining a bullish stance on financials—particularly major banks—due to anticipated deregulation tailwinds. We also favor the housing sector, despite potential market jitters from a new Fed Chair that could unsettle bond vigilantes.
KBE
16 JAN 26 62 Long Call Premium: $1.10 Delta: 0.38 12/8/25 1:38pm
KBWB
16 JAN 26 84 Long Call Premium: $1.40 Delta: 0.37 12/8/25 1:24pm
NAIL
16 JAN 26 75 Long Call Premium: $1.30 Delta: 0.20 12/8/25 1:33pm
XLF
16 JAN 26 54 Long Call Premium: $0.78 Delta: 0.43 12/8/25 1:55pm
20 FEB 26 59 Long Call Premium: $0.11 Delta: 0.07 12/8/25 1:57pm