Daily Newsletter 12/17/25
Major indexes are down sharply midday, with the NASDAQ suffering the biggest decline.
Bitcoin has plunged below $87,000, gripped by extreme fear in crypto markets.
Crude oil dropped to multi-year lows on oversupply concerns, sending energy stocks to lead S&P 500 decliners.
The U.S. dollar stabilized after the unemployment rate jumped to a four-year high. Meanwhile, Tesla hit an all-time high as autonomous testing expands.
Position unchanged from yesterday. Tech’s drop exceeds expectations slightly, yet option positions hold firm. Eyeing EWJ ahead of BOJ rate decision Friday morning; skipping Brazil for now, while monitoring Argentina and Chile.
Fully bullish on financials, especially big banks; moderately bullish on housing, defense, nuclear plays. Medium- to long-term bullish on gold, silver, select commodities.
Paying close attention to platinum.
AI valuations remain a concern, but indexes should trend higher through the holidays. Weak jobs and consumer confidence are familiar themes, with this decline likely just a temporary pullback.
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