Daily Newsletter 2/6/26

Is the post–sell-off rally genuine? Frankly, it’s difficult to say with certainty. We continue to believe that gold, silver, and select other commodities will appreciate over time. Here’s another consideration for gold: long-term demand remains intact, and the fundamentals have not changed. However, if smart money shifts toward another safe haven, conditions could evolve quickly. Recent margin calls have also played a role in recent price movements.

Overall, we maintain a medium- to long-term bullish outlook on precious metals. Near-term movements, however, are hard to predict. Option data suggest that interest in short-expiration trades remains elevated, while certain silver ETFs appear questionable. From a technical standpoint, most indicators show oversold conditions.

So why aren’t we fully bullish and buying every dip? In our view, markets continue to react sharply to news—both bullish and bearish—often exaggerating short-term sentiment. Many investors act as though a crash could happen at any moment, yet simultaneously attempt to “buy the dip.” We believe the market is filtering news in ways that make purely theoretical approaches less effective right now.

In this environment, our strategy is to stay vigilant in the short term while maintaining a long-term perspective. We remain bullish on gold, silver, and select commodities. We’re currently avoiding Argentina due to elevated uncertainty, and Japan appears too risky at the moment. Tech is on hold for now, while housing has become a new area of interest as we await potential regulatory changes. Our previous positions were slightly premature, but we are monitoring closely. In financials, we’ve reduced exposure given the number of unknowns in play

OUR TRADES

We share all our short-term trades in the Tactical Portfolio exclusively with paid subscribers, showing the exact entry time and price for every trade below. Subscribers receive timely buy and sell alerts via chat. Our approach is eclectic, blending macroeconomic insights with a quantitative methodology. We do not limit ourselves to specific markets or sectors, seeking to profit from any short or very short trade that fits our strategy. We use sophisticated option strategies to capitalize on short-term market movements, ensuring full transparency and prompt exit updates.

Our option positions are presented using a single‑contract example. In practice, our portfolio includes positions with varying contract sizes. This approach allows you to scale position size up or down to reflect the strength of your market view.