Daily Newsletter 6/6/25
US jobs report surpasses expectations: The latest employment data shows stronger-than-anticipated job growth, reinforcing labor market resilience and boosting confidence in the broader economy.
US-China talks resume: High-level discussions between the US and China have recommenced, signaling a possible easing of geopolitical tensions and supporting a more optimistic outlook for global markets.
Trump-Musk meeting scheduled: The upcoming meeting between Donald Trump and Elon Musk is drawing significant attention from market participants, given their substantial influence on regulatory policy, corporate strategy, and overall investor sentiment. This heightened focus follows a notable public dispute between the two, which previously contributed to pronounced volatility and a sharp decline in Tesla’s share price.
Market momentum builds: With these positive catalysts converging, the market’s roller coaster ride continues, offering renewed momentum and opportunity for investors to capitalize on emerging trends.
Recent US economic data continues to illustrate a persistent misalignment between soft and hard indicators, a trend that underscores ongoing uncertainty in the market. While the latest job report shows healthy employment gains and a steady unemployment rate—reflecting underlying resilience in the labor market—business and consumer sentiment, as captured in soft data, remains subdued and increasingly pessimistic.
This divergence means that, although objective measures such as payroll growth and unemployment figures paint a robust picture, anecdotal evidence and survey-based data suggest rising caution among businesses and households, likely influenced by trade policy volatility and broader economic concerns. We interpret this ongoing disconnect as a clear signal that the roller coaster market environment will persist, with investors facing continued volatility as sentiment and reality struggle to converge.
We rigorously assess risk multiple times throughout each trading day, a discipline that forms the cornerstone of our market approach. In the current environment—characterized by heightened volatility and rapid macroeconomic shifts—maintaining this level of vigilance is essential. In our view, any less frequent or less systematic risk evaluation would expose portfolios to unnecessary and potentially significant downside, especially as market dynamics evolve from hour to hour.
OUR TRADES
Below, you will find our portfolio, which is divided into two sections: the Tactical Portfolio and the Medium-to-Long-Term Portfolio.
We share all entry and exit points of our tactical trades with our paid subscribers, along with detailed explanations for why each trade was initiated.