Week 50 (December 8 - December 14, 2025)
On Monday, we updated our portfolio and shared it through a new post.
PORTFOLIO UPDATE
The primary catalyst for this update is the Federal Reserve’s rate decision scheduled for Wednesday. Consensus anticipates a 25 basis point cut, a view we fully endorse. While a more aggressive reduc…
On Wednesday, we successfully captured substantial profits from our brief SOXL options trade.
Dec 10 2:11 PM
On Friday, we closed multiple positions.
Looking ahead:
Markets show indecision this morning after Friday’s sharp sell-off in AI and tech stocks. Medium-term uncertainty persists, but the outlook divides into pre- and post-holiday phases, with key sectors set to lead in each.
Sector Views
Fully bullish on financials, especially major banks—currently the largest position. Moderately bullish on housing, defense, and nuclear-related stocks, with European defense and nuclear potentially warranting bigger exposure soon. Medium- to long-term bullish on gold, silver, and select commodities beyond core holdings. In the very short run, expect a tech stock recovery, prompting a new TQQQ options position; NUGT remains held for an anticipated short-term gold bounce amid ongoing medium- and long-term bullishness.
International Markets
Argentina stays on radar despite closing BBAR and YPF profitably last week—no clear entry point yet. Exited EWJ with a small profit to avoid betting on the BOJ rate decision, deemed too risky now.
Near-Term Expectations
Indexes should trend upward through holidays despite AI fears. Weakening U.S. employment and low consumer confidence, while notable, follow familiar patterns. A Santa Claus rally appears likely, with Friday’s dip as a brief pullback.
This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only—not financial advice. Use of this information is at your own risk, and the authors are not responsible for any resulting losses or damages. All investment decisions remain your responsibility.